| Author: John Jay 
 To the People of the State of New York:
 
 IT IS not a new observation that the people of any country (if, 
				like the Americans, intelligent and wellinformed) seldom adopt 
				and steadily persevere for many years in an erroneous opinion 
				respecting their interests. That consideration naturally tends 
				to create great respect for the high opinion which the people of 
				America have so long and uniformly entertained of the importance 
				of their continuing firmly united under one federal government, 
				vested with sufficient powers for all general and national 
				purposes.
 
 The more attentively I consider and investigate the reasons 
				which appear to have given birth to this opinion, the more I 
				become convinced that they are cogent and conclusive.
 
 Among the many objects to which a wise and free people find it 
				necessary to direct their attention, that of providing for their 
				SAFETY seems to be the first. The SAFETY of the people doubtless 
				has relation to a great variety of circumstances and 
				considerations, and consequently affords great latitude to those 
				who wish to define it precisely and comprehensively.
 
 At present I mean only to consider it as it respects security 
				for the preservation of peace and tranquillity, as well as 
				against dangers from FOREIGN ARMS AND INFLUENCE, as from dangers 
				of the LIKE KIND arising from domestic causes. As the former of 
				these comes first in order, it is proper it should be the first 
				discussed. Let us therefore proceed to examine whether the 
				people are not right in their opinion that a cordial Union, 
				under an efficient national government, affords them the best 
				security that can be devised against HOSTILITIES from abroad.
 
 The number of wars which have happened or will happen in the 
				world will always be found to be in proportion to the number and 
				weight of the causes, whether REAL or PRETENDED, which PROVOKE 
				or INVITE them. If this remark be just, it becomes useful to 
				inquire whether so many JUST causes of war are likely to be 
				given by UNITED AMERICA as by DISUNITED America; for if it 
				should turn out that United America will probably give the 
				fewest, then it will follow that in this respect the Union tends 
				most to preserve the people in a state of peace with other 
				nations.
 
 The JUST causes of war, for the most part, arise either from 
				violation of treaties or from direct violence. America has 
				already formed treaties with no less than six foreign nations, 
				and all of them, except Prussia, are maritime, and therefore 
				able to annoy and injure us. She has also extensive commerce 
				with Portugal, Spain, and Britain, and, with respect to the two 
				latter, has, in addition, the circumstance of neighborhood to 
				attend to.
 
 It is of high importance to the peace of America that she 
				observe the laws of nations towards all these powers, and to me 
				it appears evident that this will be more perfectly and 
				punctually done by one national government than it could be 
				either by thirteen separate States or by three or four distinct 
				confederacies.
 
 Because when once an efficient national government is 
				established, the best men in the country will not only consent 
				to serve, but also will generally be appointed to manage it; 
				for, although town or country, or other contracted influence, 
				may place men in State assemblies, or senates, or courts of 
				justice, or executive departments, yet more general and 
				extensive reputation for talents and other qualifications will 
				be necessary to recommend men to offices under the national 
				government,--especially as it will have the widest field for 
				choice, and never experience that want of proper persons which 
				is not uncommon in some of the States. Hence, it will result 
				that the administration, the political counsels, and the 
				judicial decisions of the national government will be more wise, 
				systematical, and judicious than those of individual States, and 
				consequently more satisfactory with respect to other nations, as 
				well as more SAFE with respect to us.
 
 Because, under the national government, treaties and articles of 
				treaties, as well as the laws of nations, will always be 
				expounded in one sense and executed in the same 
				manner,--whereas, adjudications on the same points and 
				questions, in thirteen States, or in three or four 
				confederacies, will not always accord or be consistent; and 
				that, as well from the variety of independent courts and judges 
				appointed by different and independent governments, as from the 
				different local laws and interests which may affect and 
				influence them. The wisdom of the convention, in committing such 
				questions to the jurisdiction and judgment of courts appointed 
				by and responsible only to one national government, cannot be 
				too much commended.
 
 Because the prospect of present loss or advantage may often 
				tempt the governing party in one or two States to swerve from 
				good faith and justice; but those temptations, not reaching the 
				other States, and consequently having little or no influence on 
				the national government, the temptation will be fruitless, and 
				good faith and justice be preserved. The case of the treaty of 
				peace with Britain adds great weight to this reasoning.
 
 Because, even if the governing party in a State should be 
				disposed to resist such temptations, yet as such temptations 
				may, and commonly do, result from circumstances peculiar to the 
				State, and may affect a great number of the inhabitants, the 
				governing party may not always be able, if willing, to prevent 
				the injustice meditated, or to punish the aggressors. But the 
				national government, not being affected by those local 
				circumstances, will neither be induced to commit the wrong 
				themselves, nor want power or inclination to prevent or punish 
				its commission by others.
 
 So far, therefore, as either designed or accidental violations 
				of treaties and the laws of nations afford JUST causes of war, 
				they are less to be apprehended under one general government 
				than under several lesser ones, and in that respect the former 
				most favors the SAFETY of the people.
 
 As to those just causes of war which proceed from direct and 
				unlawful violence, it appears equally clear to me that one good 
				national government affords vastly more security against dangers 
				of that sort than can be derived from any other quarter.
 
 Because such violences are more frequently caused by the 
				passions and interests of a part than of the whole; of one or 
				two States than of the Union. Not a single Indian war has yet 
				been occasioned by aggressions of the present federal 
				government, feeble as it is; but there are several instances of 
				Indian hostilities having been provoked by the improper conduct 
				of individual States, who, either unable or unwilling to 
				restrain or punish offenses, have given occasion to the 
				slaughter of many innocent inhabitants.
 
 The neighborhood of Spanish and British territories, bordering 
				on some States and not on others, naturally confines the causes 
				of quarrel more immediately to the borderers. The bordering 
				States, if any, will be those who, under the impulse of sudden 
				irritation, and a quick sense of apparent interest or injury, 
				will be most likely, by direct violence, to excite war with 
				these nations; and nothing can so effectually obviate that 
				danger as a national government, whose wisdom and prudence will 
				not be diminished by the passions which actuate the parties 
				immediately interested.
 
 But not only fewer just causes of war will be given by the 
				national government, but it will also be more in their power to 
				accommodate and settle them amicably. They will be more 
				temperate and cool, and in that respect, as well as in others, 
				will be more in capacity to act advisedly than the offending 
				State. The pride of states, as well as of men, naturally 
				disposes them to justify all their actions, and opposes their 
				acknowledging, correcting, or repairing their errors and 
				offenses. The national government, in such cases, will not be 
				affected by this pride, but will proceed with moderation and 
				candor to consider and decide on the means most proper to 
				extricate them from the difficulties which threaten them.
 
 Besides, it is well known that acknowledgments, explanations, 
				and compensations are often accepted as satisfactory from a 
				strong united nation, which would be rejected as unsatisfactory 
				if offered by a State or confederacy of little consideration or 
				power.
 
 In the year 1685, the state of Genoa having offended Louis XIV., 
				endeavored to appease him. He demanded that they should send 
				their Doge, or chief magistrate, accompanied by four of their 
				senators, to FRANCE, to ask his pardon and receive his terms. 
				They were obliged to submit to it for the sake of peace. Would 
				he on any occasion either have demanded or have received the 
				like humiliation from Spain, or Britain, or any other POWERFUL 
				nation?
 
 PUBLIUS.
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